I am so happy that los come solo se quedan. Leonel Fernandez has been one of the best presindent in the history of our nation. I hope that all PRDista burn in hell for bringing so much misery, crime, abuse to my country and demorilizing the Dominican.

We, all Domincan should request that the constitution be change so that Leonel Fernandez can stay in power for ever as we already know his intentions, his desires, to bring progress to our nation, make our country better and much much more.

God Bless al Dr. Leonel Fernandez Reyna !!!

Some check didn't clear ???

We get the government we deserve.

Quien sea menos vargas o aristy... Aunque me gustaria ver a Pedro Jesus de Candelier como presidente por 10 anos para que se arrenglen las cosa


(dictadura con soporte popular) Juan Bosch

On Feb. 16, Gallup reported under the DT headline "Presidential race in Dominican Republic gets tight:"

http://www.dominicantoday.com/dr/....-in-Dominican-Republic-gets-tight

37.2 per cent ... Miguel Vargas Maldonado (PRD),
36.8 per cent ,,,, Leonel Fernández (PLD)
09.7 per cent ...... Amable Aristy Castro (PRSC)

The next day, Feb. 17, the PLD ambushed Gallup under the DT headline "Dominicans give Fernandez a 13-point lead

http://www.dominicantoday.com/dr/search?q=Greenberg
citing a poll by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research that found:

57 per cent ........ Leonel Fernández (PLD)
34 per cen .........Miguel Vargas Maldonado (PRD)
02 per cent. ...... Amable Aristy Castro (PRSC)

The saga CON"t

I for one could not bring myself to vote for a puffta.

saga RESUMED

Outraged by the polling, Amable Aristy Castro of the PRSC sails, on Feb. 24, on a yola to PR where he announces that he enjoys the support of 31 percent of the electorate, second only to Leonel.
http://www.dominicantoday.com/dr/....-Rico-discusses-illegal-migration

Finding Aristy's claims intolerable, Gallup returns, on Feb. 26, with a big second poll, finding:
http://www.dominicantoday.com/dr/....dent-has-more-than-half-the-votes

52 per cent ........Leonel Fernández (PLD)
35 per cen .........Miguel Vargas Maldonado (PRD)
07 per cent. ...... Amable Aristy Castro (PRSC)

From the published polling results, we must conclude that the race is fluid.

Polls are statistical predictions,

counting votes another reality !!!

500 + 1

What Gallup does with its second poll is to cut down of Leonel's lead modestly from 57% to 52%, to lay the predicate for a later misleading finding that Leonel is declining in the polls, with Gallup, at the same time, falsely claiming impartiality as a result its Feb. 26 poll that gave Leonel an impressive 52% rather than Gallup's first poll which found only 36% for Leonel.

In other words, Gallup is setting up Leonel for a false drop.

Gallup somehow resisted the temptation to puff up the PRD, showing a negligible change from 34% to 35% between the latest Gallup and the earlier Greenberg.

The next Gallup will likely come out with something like 49% or 50% of Leonel in order to sustain the false fall.

The most intriguing result is Aristy's claim of 31 percent of the electorate, a claim he chose to utter in PR. How did Aristy get 31%? He doesn't identify his pollster. The Christian reformer concedes that Leonel is ahead of him in the polls, but Aristy doesn't say how much.

"Presidential elections are held in the Dominican Republic every four years, on the 16th of May. The candidate must gain a majority vote of at least 50% plus one to win the presidency in the first round. If none of the candidates obtains such majority, a second poll will take place 45 days later, at which the population will decide between the two candidates that had the best results during the first poll."
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Government_of_the_Dominican_Republic

0000

According to the Gallup today, the Leonel is nowhere near home free with his 52%.

PRD and PRSC have 35 and 7% respectively, for a total of just 42%, with "others" holding on to 6%, according to Gallup.

The PRD, PRSC, and ... perhaps ... "others" want to block Leonel in the 1st round. Then gang up on him, knock him down, and kick him good in the 2d round, the strategy the reactionaries used successfully in the last presidential in Peru.

To be safe, Leonel needs the 57% he had earlier.

Who in the hell do they survey anyway, because i and no one that i know has been asked, who do you want to Vote for. This is straight BS Polls.

"Who in the hell do they survey anyway"

oooo

In theory, they survey a sample group that represents the DR people or, at least, the electorate of the people, or, at least, the either the registered on most likely voters in the electorate.

Picking individuals in the sample is, in theory, both random and structured [unless the people are very homogeneous]. The sample may be structured by allowances for income, education, sex [say, one half of the sample is gay], race [say, a 3d is Caucasianated "white"], ideology [say, reactionary, pro-imperialist, liberal, Communist], etc.

Some pollsters used a fresh sample for each poll. Other used a stale sample over and over again in their polling activity after they finally construct good representation of the people. These individuals often get a check for $15 to $30 for answering the questions.

The poll is by phone or internet or both.

Depending on means of communication, size of the sample may be very small ... 0.005 percent.

Some surveys are completely automated. The computer picks individuals according to the pollster's rules. The computer dials and talks to the individuals. The computer records the individual's reponses by dial tone or audio or video, The computer spits out a 300-page document that presents the numbers and critiques the results. The computer mails the respondents their $15 of peanuts. The computers bills the client ... that is, the candidate, somewhere like a $1,000,000 for its efforts.

Then the pollster screws the computer out of everything.

Often the computer or live interviewers are in another country -- South Africa, Ireland, and India are popular sites for English surveys. Often, with no accent. Technical services that cost $30,000 elsewhere can be purchased for only $800 and billed to the candidate for $100,000.

Mexico City, Guatemala City, and San Salvador are popular for Spanish surveys. Often, accents very discernible

I myself would not vote for a gay.

That's the way it should President Leonel Fernandez is doing a good job in this hard time the world is going through! 4 años mas y hablamos!