Gallup, Greenberg, Noxa-Clave, Penn & Shoen, within margin of error
SANTO DOMINGO.- Rejected by the opposition and dickered by the ruling party, the projections by the most recognized pollsters, except Hamilton & Staff, agreed with the results in Friday’s elections, according to the Central Electoral Board’s final bulletin.
The stalwarts Penn, Schoen & Berland and Gallup, as well as the newcomers Noxa and Greenberg Quinlan Rosner were close to target and in most cases, as the differences were within their anticipated margins of error, from plus or minus 2.5 and 3 percent.
With 100 percent of the votes tallied, the JCE said president Leonel Fernandez, of the PLD, won with 54 percent; Miguel Vargas Maldonado, of the PRD, 40 percent, and Amable Aristy Castro, of the PRSC, 4 percent, with 1 percent for the other four candidates.
Gallup’s mid April poll, published the 21st that month in newspaper Hoy, had a result of 52, 37 and 4 percent, for a five-point difference,
In a press conference, Penn published its poll done from April 21 to 25 , with 56, 37 and 5, for a difference of six, whereas newspaper Diario Libre-Greenberg’s survey, done from April 30 to May 5 and published May 13, found 55, 37, for a variation of six points.
The pollster Noxa-CIES, whose field work took place from April 21 to 26 and published by the weekly Clave on May 8, found 54, 36 and 9, coming closest to Fernandez’s votes, though missed in its 9-percent projection for Aristy Castro.
From: United States Virgin Islands, Christiansted.from the bar at the Comanche
Resident communist stooge can explain this one with his convoluted lies and DATA and STATISTICS......our little buddy Josean has to eat a little crow as well.....Polls got it dead on
From: United States
Knockout Primer Round
Written by: Belial, 19 May 2008 1:53 PM
From: United States, Texas
So, Noxa is the only one that hit the nail on the head, as far as the winner is concerned.
Missing the nail in the loser's head is no big deal.
The DT article deals only with "projections by "most recognized pollsters."
The "projection" thing presupposes that the voters had made up their minds at the time of the interview. [They probably had by late April.]
If not a "projection," then a snapshot as of the interview period.
So, being "most recognized," the pollsters recognized include:
(1) Hamilton & Staff (which blew it)
(2) Penn, Schoen & Berland
(3) Gallup
(4) Noxa (the gold medal winner)
(5) Greenberg Quinlan Rosner
Not being "most recognized," the pollsters not recognized, include among others {not mentioned}:
(1) Asisa Research Group
(2) Zogby International, (the king of the pollsters in competence and integrity) arrived late in the race.
(3) the no name and no account pollsters.
This is a rather glamorous field of pollsters.
From: United States Virgin Islands, Christiansted.from the bar at the Comanche
resident communist stooge is splitting hairs ...after attempting to discredit all he should slink away like the sleaze he is and hide
Written by: Belial, 19 May 2008 2:29 PM
From: United States, Texas
PENN,SCHOEN & BERLAND,
p.1
Penn, Schoen & Berland's exit poll in the DR projecting LF the winner at 56% with a 1 point margin of error was right on the mark, because LF actually won with 54%.
[Gallup's exit hasn't surfaced as far as I know]
Why would a vile, supremely-crooked, and pro-imperialist firm like Penn, Schoen & Berland finally show professional integrity?
May 16 was not a class struggle in the sense of an INTER-class rumble ... e.g., proletariat vs bourgeoisie. Nor was May 16 a class struggle as an INTRA-class rumble ... e.g., reactionary vs liberal sector of the same Dominican bourgeoisie. However, May 16 was a class struggle as an intra-SECTORAL rumble within same bourgeois class. In other words, both of chief candidates were free-trade reactionaries, belonging to the same reactionary wing of the ruling class.
Confident that a reactionary would win, Penn, Schoen & Berland made a rare show of professional integrity in its May 16 exit poll.
Con't
From: United States Virgin Islands, Christiansted.from the bar at the Comanche
resident communist stooge sends us more cut and paste drivel he is becoming more like "rainman" every day......Judge Wapner 4oclock you know what I mean.....let him explain nutty hugo
Written by: Belial, 19 May 2008 2:46 PM
From: United States, Texas
PENN,SCHOEN & BERLAND
p. 2
Founded 1975, Penn, Schoen & Berland is a British-owned US-based full service political and business consultant and cheating firm, with close ties to the pro-imperialist Clinton current of the US Democratic Party and close ties with the most extreme pro-imperialist circles in the US regime.
The firm took in a whopping $13,000,000 from Senator Clinton's current presidential campaign alone for 15 months work before the arrogant, conceited, and overbearing Mark Penn, the main UK operative of the firm, was forced to resign from the campaign April 6 this year due to exposure of his double-dealing with Colombian terrorist regime.
While Mark Penn's client ... US Senator Hillary Clinton ... denounced the Colombian regime's terrorism -- torture, mass murder, disappearances, and extrajudicial detentions -- Mark Penn himself was running around trying to get US Congress to pass laws helping the regime.
Penn charges $500,000 per poll.
con't
Written by: Belial, 19 May 2008 2:56 PM
From: United States, Texas
PENN, SCHOEN & BERLAND
p. 3
In August. 2004, a Penn, Schoen & Berland exit poll predicted that Chávez would lose by 20%, but the election results showed Chavez won by 20%. The firm released its dishonest exit poll before the voting ended in violation of Venezuelan law. The bourgeois opposition in Venezuela instantly tried to discredit the August 2004 election results, using the dishonest Penn, Schoen & Berland exit poll.
But former US President Jimmy Carter, a 2004 election monitor, called the Penn, Schoen & Berland exit poll a pack of lies, blowing the dirty NED and CIA operation out of the water.
Penn, Schoen & Berland , on the payroll of NED, [infamous US National Endowment for the Democracy], the CIA [from the firm's birth in 1975], and USAID, has done similar dirty work and made similar displays of dishonesty in the USA, Nicaragua, Mexico, Italy, UK, and Serbia.
[Bourgeois slime, like cheerleader GC, love, cherish, and honor the filthy firm.]
THE END
From: United States Virgin Islands, Christiansted.from the bar at the Comanche
Chavez will never win again he has been exposed as a charlatan
From: United States
By the way...where is Josean????....it says the last time he logged in was on May 13th. Parece que esta recuperandose de la pela que ledieron el viernes. jajaja.
From: United States
A prediction is only a prediction. Polls do a variations of things which can favor the ones who are given a higher prediction. Many like to go along with the one that is being predicted to be the winner. Its' a psychological effect for both the one ahead and the one behind. What this means in D.R. politics is that the Dominican voting population is becoming more and more predictable or they are becoming more and politically conscious and are less drawned by emotions and other factors which politicians are using to draw more people into thier agenda. This may also lead to a study about how dominicans choose their leaders. It may not be so good to be as predictable as that but it should give the P.R.D. some lessons to learned and four years to developed a better strategy and fool the polls.
From: United States Virgin Islands, Christiansted.from the bar at the Comanche
Those charlatans of the PRD will need more than that
From: United States Virgin Islands, Christiansted.from the bar at the Comanche
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Missing the nail in the loser's head is no big deal.
The DT article deals only with "projections by "most recognized pollsters."
The "projection" thing presupposes that the voters had made up their minds at the time of the interview. [They probably had by late April.]
If not a "projection," then a snapshot as of the interview period.
So, being "most recognized," the pollsters recognized include:
(1) Hamilton & Staff (which blew it)
(2) Penn, Schoen & Berland
(3) Gallup
(4) Noxa (the gold medal winner)
(5) Greenberg Quinlan Rosner
Not being "most recognized," the pollsters not recognized, include among others {not mentioned}:
(1) Asisa Research Group
(2) Zogby International, (the king of the pollsters in competence and integrity) arrived late in the race.
(3) the no name and no account pollsters.
This is a rather glamorous field of pollsters.
p.1
Penn, Schoen & Berland's exit poll in the DR projecting LF the winner at 56% with a 1 point margin of error was right on the mark, because LF actually won with 54%.
[Gallup's exit hasn't surfaced as far as I know]
Why would a vile, supremely-crooked, and pro-imperialist firm like Penn, Schoen & Berland finally show professional integrity?
May 16 was not a class struggle in the sense of an INTER-class rumble ... e.g., proletariat vs bourgeoisie. Nor was May 16 a class struggle as an INTRA-class rumble ... e.g., reactionary vs liberal sector of the same Dominican bourgeoisie. However, May 16 was a class struggle as an intra-SECTORAL rumble within same bourgeois class. In other words, both of chief candidates were free-trade reactionaries, belonging to the same reactionary wing of the ruling class.
Confident that a reactionary would win, Penn, Schoen & Berland made a rare show of professional integrity in its May 16 exit poll.
Con't
p. 2
Founded 1975, Penn, Schoen & Berland is a British-owned US-based full service political and business consultant and cheating firm, with close ties to the pro-imperialist Clinton current of the US Democratic Party and close ties with the most extreme pro-imperialist circles in the US regime.
The firm took in a whopping $13,000,000 from Senator Clinton's current presidential campaign alone for 15 months work before the arrogant, conceited, and overbearing Mark Penn, the main UK operative of the firm, was forced to resign from the campaign April 6 this year due to exposure of his double-dealing with Colombian terrorist regime.
While Mark Penn's client ... US Senator Hillary Clinton ... denounced the Colombian regime's terrorism -- torture, mass murder, disappearances, and extrajudicial detentions -- Mark Penn himself was running around trying to get US Congress to pass laws helping the regime.
Penn charges $500,000 per poll.
con't
p. 3
In August. 2004, a Penn, Schoen & Berland exit poll predicted that Chávez would lose by 20%, but the election results showed Chavez won by 20%. The firm released its dishonest exit poll before the voting ended in violation of Venezuelan law. The bourgeois opposition in Venezuela instantly tried to discredit the August 2004 election results, using the dishonest Penn, Schoen & Berland exit poll.
But former US President Jimmy Carter, a 2004 election monitor, called the Penn, Schoen & Berland exit poll a pack of lies, blowing the dirty NED and CIA operation out of the water.
Penn, Schoen & Berland , on the payroll of NED, [infamous US National Endowment for the Democracy], the CIA [from the firm's birth in 1975], and USAID, has done similar dirty work and made similar displays of dishonesty in the USA, Nicaragua, Mexico, Italy, UK, and Serbia.
[Bourgeois slime, like cheerleader GC, love, cherish, and honor the filthy firm.]
THE END